Last
November it looked like the Governor and the Legislature were going
to attempt to solve the state's escalating budget crisis quickly.
Governor Gray Davis compiled what his administration argued was
a needed $10 billion in mid-year 2002-03
(current budget) cuts to stave off even more draconian reductions
for the 2003-04 (proposed)
state budget.
The Legislature
met for a few hours in December to begin the special legislative
session that was called by Governor Davis to deal with his suggested
menu of reductions - many cutting deep into social and health services.
But all that has occurred since the release of the Governor's proposed
2003-04 state budget in January is brief budget hearings, bickering,
and blaming amongst and between the legislative parties and the
Governor.
The Legislature
recently passed AB 4X (Wesson), which would give the new Director
of the Department of Finance, former State Senator Steve Peace,
the authority to pull the trigger to restore vehicle license fees
(annual car registration tax) to their original levels in order
to deliver $4 billion in revenue when revenues are lower than anticipated.
The Governor
indicated that he will veto this tax increase measure when it reaches
his desk. The Democratically-controlled Legislature is striking
back by refusing to send to the Governor a package of mid-year current
2002-03 state budget cuts unless Governor Davis decides to sign
the VLF "trigger" bill, as it has been dubbed.
The legislative
Democrats are entertaining an attempt at placing an initiative on
the statewide ballot to allow voters to raise taxes to assist in
filling the multi-billion-dollar budget deficit. A successful initiative
would avoid the deep and painful cuts to education, health care
programs, social programs and local government that the Governor
has proposed and which they have initially rejected.
The Republicans
legislators are also in the process of formulating their own plan
for the State Budget impasse that includes rolling over a portion
of the state's deficit to at least one year in the future. This
roll over would be accompanied by fiscal reforms such as a cap on
state spending, a short-term spending freeze, and a rollback of
some "job killer" bills to address an approximate $30
billion budget hole. Their plan will be released in late February.
Meanwhile, California's
credit rating continues to suffer. Moody's Investors Services became
the third national ratings agency to downgrade the state's credit
because of state budget problems. Moody's has lumped the state in
with New York and Louisiana as its lowest-rated states and reduced
the state's credit rating for $22 billion in bonds.
The Legislative
Analysts' Office (LAO) will unveil its assessment of the Governor's
proposed 2003-04 State Budget on Wednesday, February 19. Assembly
and Senate democrats plan to wait until the Governor releases his
revised state budget plan, called the "May Revise," during
the week of May 11th to hold any more budget hearings or call for
more budget votes.
All of this
inactivity almost guarantees that the state budget won't be signed
by the state constitutionally-mandated June 30 deadline. Last year's
marathon state budget negotiations dragged on through summer, and
the state budget was not signed by Governor Davis until August 30,
2002.
Wendy Ridderbusch, State
Legislative Advocate
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